Equity Research Report Hul

Value RESEARCH REPORT (HUL) FMCG SECTOR INDIA OUTLOOK The blossoming working class Indian populace, just as the country part, present a tremendous potential for this division. The FMCG division in India is at present, the fourth biggest area with an all out market size in abundance of USD 13 billion starting at 2012. This area is relied upon to develop to a USD 33 billion industry by 2015 and to a challenging USD 100 billion constantly 2025. This segment is described by solid MNC nearness and a settled dissemination organize. In India the simple accessibility of crude materials just as modest work makes it a perfect goal for this sector.There is likewise serious rivalry between the sorted out and sloppy portions and the battle to keep operational costs low. Difficulties TO FMCG SECTOR * Increasing pace of expansion, which is probably going to prompt greater expense of crude materials. * The normalization of bundling standards that is probably going to be executed by the Government by Jan 2013 is relied upon to build cost of refreshments, oats, consumable oil, cleanser, flour, salt, circulated air through beverages and mineral water. * Steadily rising fuel costs, prompting expanded circulation costs. The present log jam in the economy may bring down interest of FMCG items, especially in the top notch part, prompting diminished volumes. * The declining estimation of rupee against different monetary forms may decrease edges of numerous organizations, as Marico, Godrej Consumer Products, Colgate, Dabur, and so on who import crude materials. HIGH GROWTH DRIVING FACTOR * Increasing pace of urbanization, expected to see significant development in coming years. * Rise in expendable salaries, bringing about premium brands having quicker development and more profound entrance. * Innovative and more grounded channels of appropriation to the rustic section, prompting further entrance into this portion. Increment in provincial non-horticultural pay and advantages from gover nment assistance programs. * Investment in securities exchanges of FMCG organizations, which are relied upon to develop continually. This part will keep on considering development to be it relies upon an ever-expanding inside market for utilization, and interest for these products stays pretty much steady, independent of downturn or expansion. Henceforth this segment will develop, however it may not be a smooth development way, because of the current overall monetary log jam, rising swelling and fall of the rupee.This division will see great development over the long haul and employing will keep on staying strong DEMAND FOR FMCG SECTOR Confidence of purchaser item producers is winding down as a delayedâ monsoonâ and waiting shortcoming in the economy take steps to stifle income development for the area in the following two quarters. A few advertisers, including Dabur, Marico, Godrej Consumer Products Ltd (GCPL), ITC and Emami, dread weight on premium items and country re quest †two significant development drivers †in the coming a very long time as continued highâ inflationâ and a hold-up in storm could provoke purchasers to fix tote strings. While the very good quality, super-premium portion doesn't get affected by expansion, request in the mass premium fragment could contract if generally financial assessment doesn't improve,† said Sunil Duggal, CEO ofDabur India, the producer of Real squeezes and Vatika cleanser. ABOUT HUL is the market chief in Indian buyer items with nearness in more than 20 customer classifications, for example, cleansers, tea, cleansers and shampoos among others with more than 700 million Indian shoppers utilizing its items. Seventeen of HUL’s brands highlighted in the ACNielsen Brand Equity rundown of 100 Most Trusted Brands Annual Survey (2011).The organization additionally happens to have the most elevated number of brands in this rundown, with six brands including in the main 15 rundown. The or ganization has a dissemination channel of 6. 3 million outlets and possesses 35 significant Indian brands. Its brands incorporate LABOR COST IN INDIA IS THE LOWEST AMONG THE EMERGING ASIAN COUNTRIES HUL RATIOS RATIO| 2012| 2011| 2010| 2009| 2008| Current Ratio| 0. 8954| 0. 9000| 0. 81268| 0. 9834| 0. 65823| Quick Ratio| 0. 4978| 0. 4711| 0. 48604| 0. 5436| 0. 27253| Cash Flow Liquidity ratio| 0. 6038| 0. 5519| 0. 80573| 0. 6679| 0. 38392| Average Collection Period| 13. 343| 17. 560| 14. 0918| 10. 01| 12. 2710| Days Inventory Held| 48. 957| 59. 526| 53. 1215| 51. 365| 60. 4530| Days Payable Outstanding| 73. 481| 81. 979| 104. 886| 66. 724| 87. 8556| Account Receivable turnover| 27. 355| 20. 785| 25. 9014| 36. 494| 29. 7448| Accounts Payable Turnover| 3. 6017| 3. 0947| 2. 43856| 3. 9712| 3. 01573| Inventory Turnover| 5. 4059| 4. 2619| 4. 81485| 5. 1589| 4. 38272| Fixed resources turnover| 10. 36| 9. 01| 8. 01| 12. 34| 8. 87| Total Assets Turnover| 4. 9807| 5. 4970| 6. 59332| 7. 9313| 8. 55871| Debt Ratio| 0| 0. 00402| 0. 1683| 0. 06321| LONG TERM DEBT TO CAPITAL EMPLOYED| 0| 0. 00402| 0. 683| 0. 06321| gross benefit ratio| 16. 449| 40. 107| 41. 4842| 49. 423| 51. 688| Operating Profit Ratio| 16. 456| 15. 911| 16. 8758| 15. 909| 18. 0540| Net Profit Ratio| 11. 947| 11. 520| 12. 2033| 12. 268| 13. 8754| Return on Investments| 59. 509| 63. 326| 80. 4618| 97. 307| 118. 755| Return on Equity| 76. 068| 84. 339| 81. 1040| 117. 42| 127. 232| Cash Return on Assets| 0. 4351| 0. 5281| 1. 29341| 0. 7963| 1. 07195| Price to Earning| 18. 569| 26. 227| 30. 0113| 37. 728| 56. 8245| Peer examination s. no. | Name | Market capitalisation| Sales turnover| Net benefit | Total assets| 1| GODREJ| 22933. 3| 2980. 08| 604. 39| 2761. 43| 2| DABUR| 22448. 83| 3759. 33| 463. 24| 1576. 54| 3| MARICO| 13361. 56| 2970. 30| 336. 58| 1677. 27| 4| EMAMI| 9101. 40| 1389. 82| 256. 81| 804. 23| 5| P&G| 8103. 50| 1297. 41| 181. 29| 600. 62| 6| GILLETTE| 7130. 13| 1232. 90| 75. 73| 600. 33| 7| J YOTHY LABS| 2860. 82| 662. 97| 83. 52| 1226. 42| 8| BAJAJ CORP. | 2926. 40| 473. 31| 120. 09| 427. 86| 9| HUL| 118139| 22116. 37| 2691. 40| 3512. 93| BALANCE SHEET OF HUL| â€â€â€â€â€â€- in Rs. Cr. â€â€â€â€â€â€- | Mar '12| Mar '11| Mar '10| Mar '09| Dec '07| | 12 mths| 12 mths| 12 mths| 15 mths| 12 mths| | |Sources Of Funds| | Total Share Capital| 216. 15| 215. 95| 218. 17| 217. 99| | Equity Share Capital| 216. 15| 215. 95| 218. 17| 217. 99| 217. 75| | Share Application Money| 0. 00| 0. 00| 0. 00| 0. 00| 0. 00| | Preference Share Capital| 0. 00| 0. 00| 0. 00| 0. 00| | Reserves| 3,296. 11| 2,417. 30| 2,364. 68| 1,842. 85| 217. 75| | Revaluation Reserves| 0. 67| 0. 67| 0. 67| 0. 67| 0. 67| | Networth| 3,512. 93| 2,633. 92| 2,583. 52| 2,061. 51| 1,439. 24| | Secured Loans| 0. 00| 0. 00| 0. 00| 144. 65| 25. 2| | Unsecured Loans| 0. 00| 0. 00| 0. 00| 277. 30| 63. 01| | Total Debt| 0. 00| 0. 00| 0. 00| 421. 95| 88. 53| | Total Liabilities| 3,512. 93| 2,6 33. 92| 2,583. 52| 2,483. 46| 1,527. 77| | Mar '12| Mar '11| Mar '10| Mar '09| Dec '07| | 12 mths| 12 mths| 12 mths| 15 mths| 12 mths| | Application Of Funds| | Gross Block| 3,574. 67| 3,759. 62| 3,581. 96| 2,881. 73| 2,669. 08| | Less: Accum. Depreciation| 1,416. 88| 1,590. 46| 1,419. 85| 1,274. 95| 1,146. 57| | Net Block| 2,157. 79| 2,169. 16| 2,162. 11| 1,606. 8| 1,522. 51| | Capital Work in Progress| 210. 89| 299. 08| 273. 96| 472. 07| 185. 64| | Investments| 2,438. 21| 1,260. 68| 1,264. 08| 332. 62| 1,440. 81| | Inventories| 2,516. 65| 2,811. 26| 2,179. 93| 2,528. 86| 1,953. 60| | Sundry Debtors| 678. 99| 943. 20| 678. 44| 536. 89| 443. 37| | Cash and Bank Balance| 510. 05| 281. 91| 231. 37| 190. 59| 200. 11| | Total Current Assets| 3,705. 69| 4,036. 37| 3,089. 74| 3,256. 34| 2,597. 08| | Loans and Advances| 1,314. 72| 1,099. 72| 1,068. 31| 1,196. 95| 1,083. 28| | Fixed Deposits| 1,319. 9| 1,358. 10| 1,660. 84| 1,586. 76| 0. 75| | Total CA, Loans and Advances| 6,340. 40| 6,494. 19| 5,818. 89| 6,040. 05| 3,681. 11| | Deffered Credit| 0. 00| 0. 00| 0. 00| 0. 00| 0. 00| | Current Liabilities| 5,688. 44| 6,264. 21| 5,493. 97| 4,440. 08| 4,028. 41| | Provisions| 1,945. 92| 1,324. 98| 1,441. 55| 1,527. 98| 1,273. 90| | Total CL and Provisions| 7,634. 36| 7,589. 19| 6,935. 52| 5,968. 06| 5,302. 31| | Net Current Assets| - 1,293. 96| - 1,095. 00| - 1,116. 63| 71. 99| - 1,621. 20| | Miscellaneous Expenses| 0. 00| 0. 00| 0. 00| 0. 0| 0. 00| | Total Assets| 3,512. 93| 2,633. 92| 2,583. 52| 2,483. 46| 1,527. 76| | CAPITAL ASSET PRICING METHOD 1. REQUIRED RATE OF RETURN = Risk free return +? (Hazard premium) Ri = Rf + ? (Rm †Rf) = 8. 1 +0. 27 (6. 5) Ri = 9. 855% 2. ZERO GROWTH MODEL Where, profit = Rs. 7. 5 Po = d/r = 7. 5/9. 855% Po = 76. 10 3. Consistent GROWTH MODEL (GORDON MODEL) PO = DO(1+g) r-g d1 r-g Where , development rate = verifiable development of normal profit paid of most recent 5 years g = 6. 75% = 7. 5(1+6. 75%) (9. 855-6. 75)% PO = 258. 266 4. Ve rifiable development P0 = d1 R †g Where, po = 534. 25, d1=8. 006 , r= 9. 855% P0 = d1 R †g 534. 25= 8. 006/(0. 098-g) G= 0. 083 or 8. 3% Cash stream model Ri = 9. 855% Calculation of development pace of incomes =(1. 69*1. 51*. 54)1/3 - 1 = . 1128 =11. 28% Assuming the irregular development of (11. 8%) is for a long time, and after this the organization has returned to typical development direction of 6% development rate Cash stream from activity = 2884. 24 crore Vc = 2884. 24(1+. 1128)/(1+. 09) + 2884. 24(1+. 1128)2/(1+. 09)2 + 2884. 24(1+. 1128)2(1+. 06) (9. 855-6)% (1. 09)2 Vc = 88605 Vp = 0 Vd = 1000 Therefore, Ve = Vc †Vp †Vd = 88605-1000 = 85605 crore Total no. of offers remarkable = 216. 15 crore Po = Ve Total no. of offers remarkable = 85605/216. 15 Po = 396. 04 MULTIPLE MODEL p/e of company=32. 95 p/e of industry = 44. 0 cost of company’s share = 534. 25 profit at the company’s stock = cost of co. stock p/e of the co. =5